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18,795 mercados abiertos
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
2%probabilidad
Sí2¢No98¢
Política1 ene.
Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
  • James Talarico (D)64%Sí
  • Person A50%Sí
  • Other50%Sí
Política4 nov.
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
10%probabilidad
Sí10¢No90¢
Política1 ene.
Spain General Election: Madrid Winner
  • PP95%Sí
  • Party M50%Sí
  • Party R50%Sí
Política30 nov.
Oakville, ON Mayoral Election Winner
  • Rob Burton66%Sí
  • Person F50%Sí
  • Person N50%Sí
Política27 oct.
MA-08 House Election Winner
  • Stephen Lynch (D)97%Sí
  • Robert Burke (R)2%Sí
  • E—Sí
Política4 nov.
CT-05 House Election Winner
  • Jahana Hayes (D)97%Sí
  • Chris Shea (R)2%Sí
  • C—Sí
Política4 nov.
CA-06 House Election Winner
  • Democratic Party96%Sí
  • Republican Party2%Sí
  • Other—Sí
Política4 nov.
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?
20%probabilidad
Sí20¢No80¢
Política4 nov.
Spain General Election: Navarre Winner
  • PP87%Sí
  • Other50%Sí
  • Party A50%Sí
Política30 nov.
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
7%probabilidad
Sí7¢No93¢
Política1 ene.
China coup attempt by...?
  • December 31, 202717%Sí
  • December 31, 20264%Sí
Política1 ene.
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
  • December 31, 202610%Sí
  • October 31, 20261%Sí
Política1 ene.
TX-25 House Election Winner
  • Roger Williams (R)96%Sí
  • Dione Sims (D)2%Sí
  • E—Sí
Política4 nov.
NJ-09 House Election Winner
  • Nellie Pou (D)97%Sí
  • Rosie Pino (R)2%Sí
  • B—Sí
Política4 nov.
CA-27 House Election Winner
  • George Whitesides (D)96%Sí
  • Jason Gibbs (R)3%Sí
  • A—Sí
Política4 nov.
CA-10 House Election Winner
  • Mark DeSaulnier (D)97%Sí
  • Jeff Frese (R)3%Sí
  • B—Sí
Política4 nov.
WI-05 House Election Winner
  • Scott Fitzgerald (R)97%Sí
  • Andrew Beck (D)3%Sí
  • D—Sí
Política4 nov.
TN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
  • Person A50%Sí
  • Person B50%Sí
  • Other50%Sí
Política3 nov.
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
10%probabilidad
Sí10¢No90¢
Política1 ene.
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
10%probabilidad
Sí10¢No90¢
Política1 ene.
Which party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?
  • Nuevas Ideas (NI)77%Sí
  • Other50%Sí
  • Party F50%Sí
Política1 mar.
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
  • Maura Healey (D)95%Sí
  • Michael Minogue (R)5%Sí
  • Option D—Sí
Política4 nov.
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?
13%probabilidad
Sí13¢No87¢
Política1 ene.
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