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19,616 mercados abiertos
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?- Meta14%Sí
- DeepSeek14%Sí
- Amazon14%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?28%probabilidad
Sí28¢No72¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?- $15+84%Sí
- $20+68%Sí
- $30+5%Sí
Tecnología1 jul.
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?58%probabilidad
OpenAI58¢Anthropic42¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?8%probabilidad
Sí8¢No92¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?- December 3143%Sí
- October 312%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?3%probabilidad
Sí3¢No97¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?5%probabilidad
Sí5¢No95¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?16%probabilidad
Sí16¢No84¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?35%probabilidad
Sí35¢No65¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Another Codex outage in 2026?97%probabilidad
Sí97¢No3¢
Tecnología1 ene.
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?8%probabilidad
Sí8¢No92¢
Tecnología1 ene.
New MAI thinking model released by...?71%probabilidad
Sí71¢No29¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Another Elon baby by December 31?11%probabilidad
Sí11¢No89¢
Tecnología1 ene.
How many Codex resets week of October 19?- 4+39%Sí
- 338%Sí
Tecnología26 oct.
AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?5%probabilidad
Sí5¢No95¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by...?- March 3157%Sí
- January 3140%Sí
Tecnología1 abr.
Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?6%probabilidad
Sí6¢No94¢
Tecnología1 nov.
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?3%probabilidad
Sí3¢No97¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Next Mistral Medium (3.6+) released by...?- January 3157%Sí
- November 3042%Sí
Tecnología1 feb.
Will Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?26%probabilidad
Sí26¢No74¢
Tecnología1 ene.
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?7%probabilidad
Sí7¢No93¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?- January 3150%Sí
- December 3139%Sí
Tecnología1 feb.
Marathon Fusion gold yield matches its simulation by...?- June 3051%Sí
- December 3150%Sí
Tecnología1 jul.