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19,697 mercados abiertos
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
  • Anthropic97%Sí
  • Microsoft39%Sí
  • Perplexity24%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
  • 50%+98%Sí
  • 55%+84%Sí
  • 60%+30%Sí
Tecnología1 jul.
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
  • 3-6 hours81%Sí
  • 6-12 hours19%Sí
  • 12+ hours1%Sí
Tecnología1 nov.
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
  • OpenAI91%Sí
  • Company D50%Sí
  • Company C50%Sí
Tecnología31 oct.
OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?
  • 185-195T61%Sí
  • 175-185T25%Sí
  • 195T+13%Sí
Tecnología26 oct.
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
  • Google83%Sí
  • Company I50%Sí
  • Other50%Sí
Tecnología31 oct.
AI data center in space by...?
  • December 31, 202724%Sí
  • December 31, 20262%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
  • OpenAI80%Sí
  • Other50%Sí
  • Company A50%Sí
Tecnología31 oct.
New pandemic in 2026?
4%probabilidad
Sí4¢No96¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
  • 58%+63%Sí
  • 60%+40%Sí
  • 65%+16%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?
  • November 1588%Sí
  • October 3165%Sí
Tecnología16 nov.
Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
  • $40+94%Sí
  • $50+54%Sí
  • $60+14%Sí
Tecnología1 jul.
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
  • December 31, 202765%Sí
  • December 31, 202623%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
  • 079%Sí
  • 114%Sí
  • 22%Sí
Tecnología1 ene.
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
  • 5+99%Sí
  • 21%Sí
  • 41%Sí
Tecnología1 nov.
Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
  • 1480+64%Sí
  • 1490+57%Sí
  • 1500+53%Sí
Tecnología1 jul.
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
10%probabilidad
Sí10¢No90¢
Tecnología1 ene.
Third-best AI Lab end of November?
  • Meta66%Sí
  • Company M50%Sí
  • Company L50%Sí
Tecnología1 dic.
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
  • OpenAI90%Sí
  • AI lab F50%Sí
  • AI lab G50%Sí
Tecnología27 oct.
GitHub.com critical incident by...?
  • November 1584%Sí
  • October 3154%Sí
Tecnología16 nov.
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
  • Other50%Sí
  • Company A50%Sí
  • Company B50%Sí
Tecnología31 oct.
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?
  • Mistral38%Sí
  • Alibaba7%Sí
  • Google6%Sí
Tecnología1 nov.
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?
  • November 3074%Sí
  • October 314%Sí
Tecnología1 dic.
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
  • Company M50%Sí
  • Company L50%Sí
  • Company K50%Sí
Tecnología1 dic.
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